PGI14 September 2026

This week isn't about one central bank.

It's about three delivering decisions across three days, with the Fed's forecast heading higher into Wednesday's announcement.

(Forecasts vs previous data below, actuals will drive the move)

Monday

Canadian Inflation Opens The Week

CAD
CPI m/m-0.1% vs 0.5%
Median CPI y/y2.0% vs 2.0%
Trimmed CPI y/y1.9% vs 1.9%
Common CPI y/y2.7% vs 2.7%
EUR
ECB President Lagarde Speaks

Canadian inflation and early ECB commentary set the tone ahead of a heavy central bank week.

Tuesday

UK Labour Market Checked

GBP
Claimant Count Change-11.0K vs -11.0K
Average Earnings Index 3m/y4.1% vs 4.1%

Labour data offers an early read on the UK ahead of Wednesday's inflation release.

Wednesday

The Fed Takes Centre Stage

GBP
CPI y/y2.9% vs 2.9%
USD
Core Retail Sales m/m-0.3% vs -0.3%
Retail Sales m/m-0.6% vs -0.6%
Federal Funds Rate3.75% vs 3.75%
FOMC Economic Projections
FOMC Statement
FOMC Press Conference
NZD
GDP q/q0.8% vs 0.8%

This is the key day of the week.

Policy takes centre stage.

Thursday

The BOE Decides

GBP
Monetary Policy Summary
MPC Official Bank Rate Votes3-0-6 vs 3-0-6
Official Bank Rate3.75% vs 3.75%
USD
Philly Fed Manufacturing Index47.4 vs 47.4
Unemployment Claims206K vs 206K

A second central bank decision meets US manufacturing and labour data.

Friday

The BOJ Closes The Week

AUD
RBA Gov Bullock Speaks
JPY
BOJ Policy Rate<1.00% vs <1.00%
Monetary Policy Statement
BOJ Press Conference
GBP
Retail Sales m/m-0.5% vs -0.5%
EUR
ECB President Lagarde Speaks

A third central bank decision closes the week alongside UK consumer spending.

Central Bank Backdrop, Rates Remain Restrictive

AUD4.35%
USD3.75%
GBP3.75%
NZD2.75%
EUR2.65%
CAD2.25%
JPY1.00%
CHF0.00%

Interest rate divergence continues to shape capital flows across global markets.

The Bigger Picture

Everything builds into inflation vs growth vs policy.

Actual data vs expectations = the move.

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