PGI
This week is about three central banks (the Fed, the BOE, and the BOJ) delivering policy decisions within 48 hours of each other, while inflation and growth data test whether their paths still align.
(Forecasts vs previous data below, actuals will drive the move)
Markets Wait On Washington
Markets open the week positioning ahead of a heavy central bank calendar.
Central Bank Voices Before The Decisions
Commentary from Bullock sets the tone ahead of Wednesday's Fed decision.
The Fed Takes Centre Stage
This is the key day of the week.
- Australian CPI → early inflation signal into the session
- Federal Funds Rate → confirmation of the current policy stance
- FOMC Statement → language shift or continuity
- Press Conference → forward guidance on the rate path
Policy takes centre stage.
The BOE Decides, The US Reports Growth
A second central bank decision meets the Fed's preferred inflation gauge and a first read on US growth.
The BOJ Closes The Week
A third central bank decision closes the week alongside Eurozone inflation.
Central Bank Backdrop, Rates Remain Restrictive
Interest rate divergence continues to shape capital flows across global markets.
The Bigger Picture
- Three central banks report within the same week, testing policy alignment
- US growth and the Fed's preferred inflation gauge arrive on the same day
- Inflation data from Australia, Germany, Japan, and the Eurozone frames the global backdrop
Labour market and consumer sentiment readings complete the picture on demand.
Actual data vs expectations = the move.
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