PGI
This week isn't about central banks.
It's about whether inflation is reaccelerating while growth remains resilient.
(Forecasts vs previous data below — actuals will drive the move.)
Inflation Returns To Focus
Markets begin the week focused on Canadian inflation and what it means for future Bank of Canada policy.
Global Growth Check
Growth momentum comes into focus as traders assess the health of major economies heading into month-end.
Australian Inflation Takes Centre Stage
Inflation remains the key variable for the RBA as markets assess whether price pressures are easing fast enough.
Inflation Meets Growth
This is the key day of the week.
- Core PCE → the Fed's preferred inflation gauge
- GDP → economic resilience
- Employment → labour-market health
- Australia jobs → RBA expectations
Inflation and growth collide.
Consumer Sentiment Closes The Week
Markets finish the week assessing inflation expectations and consumer confidence.
Central Bank Backdrop, Rates Remain Restrictive
Divergence continues to drive FX flows.
The Bigger Picture
- Inflation remains the dominant macro theme
- Core PCE is the week's most important release
- Growth data continues to show resilience
- Labour markets remain relatively stable across major economies
Everything builds into inflation vs growth vs policy.
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